NFL score picking contest. 40 xtal giveaway!

Discussion in 'Off Topic' started by Moose2, Oct 4, 2015.

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  1. Last week Alex is Awesome came with in one point of winning everything, so he got to pick this weeks contest, and he has selected the lions vs Seahawks game.

    Since we have had zero winners yet, our pot is now at 40 xtals!

    If you have never played, here is how the contest works.

    1 give me the winner of today's game along with the EXACT final score.

    2. Provide a reason for your guess. Failure to provide a reason means your guess will not be counted. (Please don't guess the correct score and fail to give me a reason, because if you do that I'll be forced to troll you without mercy)

    3. You are limited to 2 guesses per page. Any additional guesses on your page will not be counted.

    4. Any guesses that have been edited will be disqualified, so don't do that.

    5. The 40 xtals are in a single pit and will be distributed among all players with the correct guess.

    With those details done, let's talk about Monday nights football game.

    Seattle is a team that is better than it looks on paper. Their season opening loss to the Rams was an anomaly, and losing to the packers at lambeau field was almost a given, as Rodgers is playing some of the best football of his career ATM. Even though that gave Seattles season dud start, they are a real threat and can't be lightly taken. They tore the Bears apart last week and are set to do the same to the lions this week. The lions defense is 27th in the league, which should give Wilson a chance to relax and freely air out the ball. This game will be remarkably one sided, and barring some freak injury to key players, expect a dominant Seattle showing.

    Moosey pick:
    Seattle: 38
    Detroit: 17

    Now that you have heard my somewhat dubious analysis of the game, let's see what our friends at odds shark have to say about today's game

    Odds Shart analysis

    Including the playoffs, the Seattle Seahawks are on an epic run on their home field, winning 27 of their last 29 home games straight up and going 21-8 against the often large spreads. Seattle will go off as a big favorite again when it hosts the winless Detroit Lions Monday night at the Clink.

    Point spread: Seahawks opened as 9.5-point favorites; the total was 43 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

    NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 25.1-15.6 Seahawks

    Why the Lions can cover the spread

    Detroit is 0-3 both SU and ATS so far this season, but it has had some chances. In the season opener, the Lions led at San Diego 21-3 but lost 33-28; in Week 2, they only trailed at Minnesota by one score well into the third quarter, before fading; and last week, they lost at home to Denver 24-12 but only trailed by two points through three quarters.

    Unfortunately for Detroit, the key play of the game last week went the other way, when just before halftime Peyton Manning basically threw a ball up for grabs, where Demaryius Thomas went up and got it for a 45-yard, back-breaking touchdown connection.

    The Lions defense held the Broncos to just 41 rushing yards, and Detroit won time of possession by a 31-29 margin. It just couldn't overcome a few big plays. If the Lions can keep quarterback Matt Stafford upright, help him out with a running game and limit the mistakes, they could stay in this one.

    Why the Seahawks can cover the spread

    After dropping their first two games of this season on the road at St. Louis (in overtime) and at Green Bay, the two-time defending NFC champs picked up their first victory of this season last week, blanking the Bears 26-0, covering as 16-point favorites.

    Seattle out-rushed Chicago 159-98, held the Bears to just 48 yards passing (in Kam Chancellor's first game back), allowed just seven first downs and forced 10 punts. Also, while the Seahawks lost Marshawn Lynch early in the game to a hamstring injury, rookie backup Thomas Rawls gained 104 yards on 16 carries.

    Seattle opened this season with that crazy overtime loss against the Rams, then fell in a grudge match against the Packers. But home is where the Seahawks really make their hay.

    Smart pick

    Seattle just covered a double-digit spread last week by pitching a shutout, and Detroit isn't exactly an offensive powerhouse. The Seahawks could score 17 points and still have an excellent chance of covering the spread. The smart choice here is Seattle.

    Betting trends

    The Lions are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road in October.

    The Lions are 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six Monday Night Football games on the road.

    The Seahawks are 9-1 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 MNF games.
  2. Seattle 31- Detroit 20
  3. ^ forgot to post reason.

    This is a game Seattle needs to win, and Detroit just isn't as good as they have been.
  4. Lions win 31-13 because the Matt stafford and Calvin Johnson game is great
  5. Seahawks win 31-13 because God told me a muffled message and I heard something about 1s and 3s
  6. Seahawks 21-13, the Seahawks are going to shut down the lions offense.
  7. Seahawks 33 vs Lions 23

    Seahawks have a great offense. They had a great game last week.
  8. Seahawks 20-13, they are going to shut down the lions offense.
  9. seattle 26, detroit 17
  10. Lions 24-41 seahawks lions don't have enough to stop the seahawks
  11. Seahawks 36 vs Lions 17

    Seahawks offense and defense are coming back. There last game proved it.
  12. 31-12 Seahawks. Seattle playing like a team...Detroit not so much
  13. Odds Shart... 
  14. 10-17 seattle the scoring won't b big from both sides seattle and def will keep pressure on Stafford allowing for a close win
  15. 31-10 Seattle. Because I have the almanac from Back to the Future.
  16. Lions 16, Seahawks 24.

    Reason for this score... my head told me
  17. Lions win 30-21 because they deserve a win and Seattle haven't been up to standard recently
  18. Seahawks 29 - Lions 17

    Seahawks had great game last week and their offence is looking strong
  19. 20 Seahawks - 10 Lions
    Seahawks have the advantage in almost everything, Lions have been more so unable to do much against the intense Seattle Defenses Legion of Boom.
  20. Lions 27 Seahawks 23 its bout time for Calvin Johnson to have his a breakthrough game and not sure who start rb today for Seahawk.
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