Dolphins vs Bills: 30 xtal pot.

Discussion in 'Off Topic' started by Moose2, Sep 26, 2015.

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  1. Well, you asked for the Dolphins/Bills game,so here it is!

    Here are the rules.
    1. You must guess the winning team

    2. You must provide the EXACT final score

    3. You must provide a reason with every guess, or your guess will be disqualified.

    4. You may have only 2 guesses per page. More than 2 guesses on a page will be disqualified.

    5. All edited quests will be disqualified, so please don't do that.

    New addition. Multiple people can now guess the same score. The pot will be split among ALL people who have the correct guess.

    So, what's my moosey analysis of this game?

    I think the bills looked strong against the pats. They put a ton of points up against one of the stiffest defenses in the league. I look for a bills win.
    Final score:
    Bills 31
    Dolphins 21

    So, I will admit to not having a strong opinion on this game. What do the professionals say?

    ODDS SHARK ANALYSIS

    If ATS trends for the Week 3 clash between the (1-1) Miami Dolphins [-3] and the (1-1) Buffalo Bills [ 3] are correct, the Fins should be able to right the ship and put the memories of the first two weeks of the 2015 NFL season in the backburner. That’s because Miami’s home opener promises to be a roaring success, if the numbers in the series are right, giving those in attendance at Sun Life Stadium something to toast to.
    That’s because head-to-head (against the spread) trends for the matchup between these old bitter rivals goes as follows: Betting favorite is 7-1 in their last eight meetings, home team is 5-1 in their last six, and Rex Ryan’s Bills have struggled in South Florida with an ATS record of 2-5-1 in their last eight visits to the Sunshine State.

    But face it, there’s always a “but” in NFL betting – some will find that, individually, it might be smarter for those betting against the spread to take the Bills rather than the Fins. As stated above, Miami is considered a three-point favorite, while Buffalo will have a margin of error equaling to a field goal. Also worth noting before going forward with these teams’ ATS trends is the OVER/UNDER, which is set at a combined total of 44 points.

    ATS Trends – Buffalo Bills (Week 3)

    Even though the Bills have struggled to cover the spread when facing the rival Dolphins, the following stats indicate that this is a reliable bet against the rest of the league, especially coming off a loss. The first piece of information to consider is that Buffalo is 4-0 (against the spread) following a straight-up loss, and 4-1 after an ATS defeat. In addition, the New Yorkers are 6-2 ATS after allowing more than 350 total yards and in their last eight games overall, as well as sporting a 5-2 mark versus intraconference teams.

    ATS Trends – Miami Dolphins (Week 3)

    What pro-Miami bettors need to know is that the Fins have struggled to cover in their last seven home games (2-5), in their last 5 contests following an ATS loss, and versus the AFC East they’re only 1-4 as of late.

    Also concerning is Joe Philbin’s 1-4-1 ATS record in the last six Week 3 games, 1-5 mark after accumulating more than 250 passing yards in the previous game, and the fact that the Dolphins are winless (0-4) after tallying fewer than 90 yards on the ground. In the OVER/UNDER department, here’s how both teams have fared according to their most recent point-total trends:

    O/U Trends – Buffalo Bills
    Under is 4-0 in the last four games after allowing more than 30 points defensively.
    Under is 5-0 in the last five games after allowing more than 250 passing yards.
    Under is 4-0 in the last four games following an ATS loss.
    Under is 7-1 in the last eight games after scoring more than 30 points.

    O/U Trends – Miami Dolphins
    Over is 4-1 in their last five games overall.
    Over is 4-1 in their last five games in Week 3.
    Over is 7-2 in their last nine games in September.
    Under is 13-4 in their last 17 games against the AFC East.
    NFL Week 3 Predictions 2015: Buffalo Bills 3

    Good luck forum!
     
  2. I think bc my name is fin i auto win
     
  3. Because of the split the pot rule, this list is going to become really, really complicated.

    Bills:

    28-21
    • FrEeZe_UP
    • blazechris
    31-21
    • -Narwhal
    • _--__---__l_Shadow_I_---__--_
    45-28
    • _No-Name-MaCHiNE_
    35-10
    • Static
    18-15
    • -Narwhal
    25-17
    • FrEeZe_UP
    25-9
    • --CF__BARBARIAN__CF--
    31-24
    • FrEeZe_UP
    31-17
    • _No-Name-MaCHiNE_
    • BEaST-SLaYiN_MaCHiNE
    32-17
    • -Narwhal
    17-14
    • Tweak_The_Badly_Influenced
    • rory
    31-27
    • -Narwhal
    21-17
    • purple-bean
    • -TokeRxD
    27-19
    • Danthiya
    25-19
    • Danthiya
    31-20
    • -Christopher-
    30-12
    • corsair
    20-17
    • ATC_RoBiN-HoOd_ATC
    21-14
    • rory
    35-24
    • byublood
    24-13
    • Sushi
    21-15
    • joshuaong
    27-23
    • corsair
    23-10
    • xXx_OUT_Indian_Outlaw_LAWZxXx
    21-7
    • jayaspock
    28-24
    • Cobra
    27-17
    • Oli_MaCHiNE-Bead
    14-13
    • Rikkimaru
    38-17
    • sltydgx
    28-17
    • o_O_____Frog____o_0
    27-14
    • BvbBlaine
    24-13
    • REDmosquito
    24-20
    • Ashvar
    35-7
    • llllllllllllI-WS-IIIIIIIIIIIII
    24-19
    • cytosin
    38-24
    • Kingsmoker
    35-7
    • _No-Name-MaCHiNE_
    42-17
    • Kingsmoker
    30-17
    • erbaj
    30-27
    • -_-GREEN-BAY-AARON-RODGERS-_-


    Dolphins:

    31-24
    • _No-Name-MaCHiNE_
    • Dancing-Wolf-in-The-Midnight
    31-21
    • FrEeZe_UP
    17-14
    • _No-Name-MaCHiNE_
    24-18
    • -Narwhal
    17-13
    • FrEeZe_UP
    20-13
    • _No-Name-MaCHiNE_
    35-27
    • FrEeZe_UP
    27-24
    • -Narwhal
    24-17
    • Nighthawk_FBPO_1
    • Ripple44
    28-24
    • xx_TOMMY_xx
    • -Narwhal
    35-17
    • ML-Rub-A-Dub-ML
    26-20
    • corsair
    23-20
    • corsair
    17-10
    • ATC_RoBiN-HoOd_ATC
    27-23
    • corsair
    28-21
    • Cobra
    31-17
    • lxlBishoplxl
    • I--------SubSoul--------I
    • Cobra
    31-18
    • -_MRC_Diva_AHL_-
    28-14
    • LordRohit
    21-17
    • purple-bean
    • Cobra
    44-20
    • DeViangreen3
    24-13
    • _No-Name-MaCHiNE_
    26-21
    • -grizzy-
     
  4. Fumbles around in pockets for fins xtals.....
     
  5. Bills 28- Dolphins 21.

    Why, Bills always start off good but lose bad and dolphins are meh always.
     
  6. 31-21 Bills

    This is Moose's guess, and Moose did extensive copy and paste research on this, so he's probably got a good guess.
     
  7. Mooooooose
     
  8. Dolphins-31
    Bills-24

    Statistics show bills losing more when in Florida so I'm just gonna guess that way.
     
  9. 
     
  10. Dolphins 31-Bills 21

    Dolphins might surprise everyone out of no where and win the game, truthfuly haven't watched NFL in like 3 years 
     
  11. Bills-45
    Dolphins-28

    Bills looked pretty good last week playing the pats, they could pull the win out this time.
     
  12. I got Bills around 35pts at least. Taylor been looking sharp and that defense will score points. Tannehill aint gonna be able to do anything about that zone blitz.

    Bills 35 Dolphins 10

    edit: "In six meetings with the Bills, Ryan Tannehill has been sacked 23 times and has a completion percentage of 56.5 percent."
     
  13. 18-15 Bills

    I expect this to be a very, very close game. Both teams are pretty evenly matched, but I expect the Bills to get lucky a couple of times and win.
     
  14. Dolphins-17
    Bills-14

    Will be a close game, both teams looked pretty nice, Dolphins pull it out with a field goal.
     
  15. 24-18 Dolphins

    The Dolphins offence may be just a little bit better than the Bills, and that may give them the edge, even with such a good Bills defence.
     
  16. Bills 25
    Dolphins 17

    Bills offense will be too much for dolphins to handle.
     
  17. Dolphins-9
    Bills-25
    Because Bills got better passing and good in red zone.
     
  18. Bills 31
    Dolphins 24

    Bills offense is too op and don't know if dolphins have any good defense player.
     
  19. Doesn't count srry, read rules again :(
     
  20. Doesn't count, srry. Read rules now :( .
     
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